Why Lando Norris Now Has the Strongest Chance to Win the 2025 F1 World Championship

Lando Norris heads into the final two races of the 2025 Formula 1 season with a genuine and historic opportunity: the chance win 2025 F1 World Championship and to become a first-time World Champion. What looked difficult just a few rounds ago has now shifted dramatically. Before the Las Vegas Grand Prix, Norris trailed Max Verstappen by 58 points — a gap many believed was too big to overcome. But Formula 1 never fails to surprise.

In a dramatic turn of events, the gap has now shrunk to just 24 points, putting the McLaren driver firmly in control of the championship narrative. With only two rounds remaining and a maximum of 33 points available this weekend, Norris finds himself on the brink of doing something extraordinary.

How Las Vegas Changed the Entire Championship Picture

The opening lap in Las Vegas demonstrated once again why Max Verstappen cannot be underestimated. Norris made a brilliant launch, cutting across Verstappen’s line. In doing so, he ran wide and momentarily left the track to avoid contact — giving Verstappen the opening he needed to take control.

Verstappen executed a flawless race, never losing the lead and taking a dominant victory. However, the biggest twist came after the chequered flag. Both McLaren cars — Norris and teammate Oscar Piastri — were disqualified due to excessive plank wear. This shock ruling massively reshaped the championship standings.

The disqualification meant Verstappen closed the gap to Norris to just 24 points. It also brought Piastri into the mix, tying him with Verstappen at 366 points. Norris remains ahead on 390.

Why Lando Norris Has the Advantage

With two races to go, Norris holds a clear edge. The scenario is simple: if he finishes ahead of both Verstappen and Piastri in the next race, he will almost certainly be crowned the 2025 Formula 1 World Champion.

The only threat to this outcome is mistakes. Norris has shown incredible consistency, race pace and composure this season — often leading with confidence and controlling races from the front. McLaren’s superior machinery in recent rounds has further tipped the balance in his favor.

Key advantage for Norris:

• He only needs to stay ahead of Verstappen and Piastri — not necessarily win.
• A points increase of even 2 over his rivals could seal the title.
• He holds the mathematical upper hand in a three-way title fight.
• McLaren’s upgrades have consistently boosted race pace.

If Norris finishes ahead of both rivals this weekend, their 2025 F1 World Championship title hopes effectively end. With only 25 points available in the final race, Verstappen and Piastri cannot afford even a minor points deficit.

Do-or-Die for Max Verstappen and Oscar Piastri

For Max and Oscar, the math is brutal: both must finish ahead of Norris to keep 2025 F1 World Championship alive. Anything less — even a 2-point loss — would eliminate them from contention.

Oscar Piastri, despite a strong first half of the 2025 F1 World Championship season, has struggled with mistakes and inconsistency recently. Internal pressure, team expectations and strategic frustrations have added to his challenge. He must deliver a near-perfect performance to remain in the fight.

Verstappen, however, is the most dangerous contender 2025 F1 World Championship. His experience, racecraft and relentless pace mean he cannot be ignored. He knows exactly how to survive title-deciding weekends — and thrives under pressure.

The Final Two Races: Everything to Play For

With 33 points available this weekend (sprint + race), the fight is wide open. But Norris’s fate is in his own hands. A clean, controlled performance — something he has shown all year — may be all he needs to become a world champion.

Whether Norris clinches the title this weekend or takes it to the final round, one thing is certain: the 2025 F1 World Championship is heading toward an unforgettable climax.

This is Lando Norris’s moment. And the world is watching.